Qualification · Qualification 24

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

80.03 – 199.77

18%82%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

96 – 316

Prediction correct · off by 66.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 147.2 ±17.5

9024Callister

Season APEX 56.1Event APEX 21.77Rank 21Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10142ANDROMEDA

Season APEX 19.7Event APEX -23.51Rank 23Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 76

9021uSELESScASE

Season APEX 71.4Event APEX 81.77Rank 15Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 77

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 328.5 ±16

9609Paraducks

Season APEX 246.2Event APEX 153.05Rank 3Record 9-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9523Archers

Season APEX 45.8Event APEX 25.9Rank 22Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 76

9502Idigna

Season APEX 36.5Event APEX 20.82Rank 12Record 6-5-0Status establishedConfidence 79

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9024, 10142, 9021

/ 100 compat

Projected

80 pts

~0.8 RP (regional)

Teams: 9024, 10142, 9021

Auto

-2.5 0%

Teleop

51.1 63%

Endgame

32.8 40%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 44%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9609, 9523, 9502

/ 100 compat

Projected

199.8 pts

~2.1 RP (regional)

Teams: 9609, 9523, 9502

Auto

45.9 23%

Teleop

102.5 51%

Endgame

52.5 26%

Strengths

· 9609 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 44%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.85 · Blue 2.11

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score80pts

Blue projected score199.8pts

Red win probability18%

Event bonus sample154alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 44%, blue 44%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -119.7
Score range: 52–228
Upset likelihood: 18%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 412 vs event baseline 153.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

147.2Season APEX328.5

-2.5Auto45.9

51.1Teleop102.5

32.8Endgame52.5

8Consistency140

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	23	86
teleop	47	140
endgame	26	75
foul	0	15
total	96	316

Result

Final score

96 – 316

Prediction correct · off by 66.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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