Qualification · Qualification 22

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

191.01 – 64.67

83%17%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

306 – 53

Prediction correct · off by 63.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 319.3 ±15.6

7672SCORPIONS ROBOTICS

Season APEX 59.5Event APEX -20.03Rank 24Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7539Elev8

Season APEX 213.1Event APEX 180.94Rank 1Record 11-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10353HATAY ROBOTICS

Provisional

Season APEX 46.7Event APEX 30.1Rank 27Record 4-7-0Status provisionalConfidence 74

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 136.7 ±17.5

8500ROBEST Robotics

Season APEX 34.4Event APEX 3.49Rank 13Record 6-5-0Status establishedConfidence 77

9467EsRobotik

Season APEX 36.6Event APEX 18.71Rank 16Record 6-5-0Status establishedConfidence 77

10502HARPIA ROBOTICS

Season APEX 65.7Event APEX 42.47Rank 19Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7672, 7539, 10353

/ 100 compat

Projected

191 pts

~2.2 RP (regional)

Teams: 7672, 7539, 10353

Auto

46.3 23%

Teleop

84.3 42%

Endgame

68.1 34%

Strengths

· 7539 anchors offense
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8500, 9467, 10502

/ 100 compat

Projected

64.7 pts

~0.7 RP (regional)

Teams: 8500, 9467, 10502

Auto

22.1 40%

Teleop

24.8 45%

Endgame

7.9 14%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.21 · Blue 0.74

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score191pts

Blue projected score64.7pts

Red win probability83%

Event bonus sample154alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 51%, blue 35%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 126.3
Score range: 38–218
Upset likelihood: 17%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 359 vs event baseline 151.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

319.3Season APEX136.7

46.3Auto22.1

84.3Teleop24.8

68.1Endgame7.9

37Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	56	16
teleop	187	15
endgame	63	22
foul	0	0
total	306	53

Result

Final score

306 – 53

Prediction correct · off by 63.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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