Qualification · Qualification 21

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

111.12 – 239.27

17%83%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

54 – 262

Prediction correct · off by 39.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 109.7 ±19.1

10247RedFox

Season APEX 26.6Event APEX 39.05Rank 33Record 2-9-0Status establishedConfidence 79

9523Archers

Season APEX 45.8Event APEX 39.03Rank 22Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 76

8777SafranTech

Provisional

Season APEX 37.3Event APEX 33.04Rank 32Record 2-9-0Status provisionalConfidence 74

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 367.1 ±16.7

10470Sancar Robotics

Season APEX 49.5Event APEX 11.15Rank 11Record 6-5-0Status establishedConfidence 77

9021uSELESScASE

Season APEX 71.4Event APEX 86.23Rank 15Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 77

9609Paraducks

Season APEX 246.2Event APEX 141.89Rank 3Record 9-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10247, 9523, 8777

/ 100 compat

Projected

111.1 pts

~0.7 RP (regional)

Teams: 10247, 9523, 8777

Auto

29.6 27%

Teleop

49.5 46%

Endgame

28.7 27%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 31%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10470, 9021, 9609

/ 100 compat

Projected

239.3 pts

~2.2 RP (regional)

Teams: 10470, 9021, 9609

Auto

37.9 16%

Teleop

136.5 57%

Endgame

65.7 27%

Strengths

· 9609 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 31%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.69 · Blue 2.22

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score111.1pts

Blue projected score239.3pts

Red win probability17%

Event bonus sample154alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 31%, blue 50%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -128.1
Score range: 84–266
Upset likelihood: 17%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 316 vs event baseline 150.9.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

109.7Season APEX367.1

29.6Auto37.9

49.5Teleop136.5

28.7Endgame65.7

54Consistency43

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	22	43
teleop	29	137
endgame	3	77
foul	0	5
total	54	262

Result

Final score

54 – 262

Prediction correct · off by 39.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.