Playoff · Playoff Match 7 R2
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
53.38 – 164.52
20%80%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
33 – 156
Prediction correct · off by 14.5 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 135.1 ±14.5
Season APEX 34.5Event APEX 23.51Rank 12Record 6-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 48.7Event APEX 23.87Rank 16Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 77
Season APEX 51.9Event APEX 6Rank 19Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 95
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 346.6 ±11.2
Season APEX 143.3Event APEX 69.97Rank 10Record 6-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 55.1Event APEX 34.39Rank 26Record 4-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 148.2Event APEX 60.16Rank 6Record 7-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 9583, 10998, 9247
30
/ 100 compatProjected
53.4 pts
~0.8 RP (regional)
Teams: 9583, 10998, 9247
Auto
21.9 45%
Teleop
17.3 35%
Endgame
9.6 20%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 37%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 7594, 10542, 5665
67
/ 100 compatProjected
164.5 pts
~2.0 RP (regional)
Teams: 7594, 10542, 5665
Auto
30.1 21%
Teleop
84.6 60%
Endgame
26.0 18%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 37%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.81 · Blue 2
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setRegional
Red projected score53.4pts
Blue projected score164.5pts
Red win probability20%
Event bonus sample152alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 37%, blue 35%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -111.1
- Score range
- 28–190
- Upset likelihood
- 20%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
135.1Season APEX346.6
21.9Auto30.1
17.3Teleop84.6
9.6Endgame26
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 17 | 35 |
| teleop | 15 | 103 |
| endgame | 1 | 18 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 33 | 156 |
Result
Final score
33 – 156
Prediction correct · off by 14.5 pts
Match videos
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