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Experimental AI-assisted analytics, predictions and ratings are estimates, not official results.

Playoff · Playoff Match 7 R2

APEX prediction
Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

53.38164.52

20%80%
Actual result
Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

33156

Prediction correct · off by 14.5 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 135.1 ±14.5
Season APEX 34.5Event APEX 23.51Rank 12Record 6-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 48.7Event APEX 23.87Rank 16Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 77
Season APEX 51.9Event APEX 6Rank 19Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 95
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 346.6 ±11.2
Season APEX 143.3Event APEX 69.97Rank 10Record 6-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 55.1Event APEX 34.39Rank 26Record 4-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 148.2Event APEX 60.16Rank 6Record 7-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9583, 10998, 9247
30
/ 100 compat
Projected
53.4 pts
~0.8 RP (regional)
Teams: 9583, 10998, 9247
Auto
21.9 45%
Teleop
17.3 35%
Endgame
9.6 20%
Strengths
  • · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
  • · Below-average combined firepower
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 37%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 7594, 10542, 5665
67
/ 100 compat
Projected
164.5 pts
~2.0 RP (regional)
Teams: 7594, 10542, 5665
Auto
30.1 21%
Teleop
84.6 60%
Endgame
26.0 18%
Strengths
Weaknesses
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 37%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.81 · Blue 2
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setRegional
Red projected score53.4pts
Blue projected score164.5pts
Red win probability20%
Event bonus sample152alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 37%, blue 35%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
  • Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
  • Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
  • Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin
-111.1
Score range
28190
Upset likelihood
20%
Data cutoff
2026-08-15
Model
apex-0.4.0

Match context

Playoff
Standard match.

Combined score 189 vs event baseline 140.2.

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

135.1Season APEX346.6
21.9Auto30.1
17.3Teleop84.6
9.6Endgame26
0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

PhaseRedBlue
auto1735
teleop15103
endgame118
foul00
total33156

Result

Final score

33156

Prediction correct · off by 14.5 pts

Match videos

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