Playoff · Playoff Match 4 R1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

266.8 – 106.85

88%12%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

311 – 155

Prediction correct · off by 46.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 451.3 ±10.4

10396Mostra

Season APEX 127.8Event APEX 86.74Rank 8Record 6-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4191IMC

Season APEX 105.4Event APEX 11.16Rank 31Record 2-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11141AlphaZ

Season APEX 218.1Event APEX 168.9Rank 4Record 9-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 228.9 ±15.7

8056Laissez Faire

Season APEX 67.5Event APEX 45.03Rank 9Record 7-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8863ANATOLIAN DEAF ETERNALS ROBOTICS

Season APEX 40.2Event APEX 33.62Rank 22Record 4-7-0Status establishedConfidence 82

6399Tinspiratio

Season APEX 121.2Event APEX 28.2Rank 20Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 92

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10396, 4191, 11141

/ 100 compat

Projected

266.8 pts

~2.3 RP (regional)

Teams: 10396, 4191, 11141

Auto

46.7 18%

Teleop

148.7 56%

Endgame

68.8 26%

Strengths

· 11141 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8056, 8863, 6399

/ 100 compat

Projected

106.9 pts

~0.6 RP (regional)

Teams: 8056, 8863, 6399

Auto

13.6 13%

Teleop

49.9 46%

Endgame

44.7 41%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.26 · Blue 0.61

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score266.8pts

Blue projected score106.9pts

Red win probability88%

Event bonus sample152alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 45%, blue 33%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 160
Score range: 82–292
Upset likelihood: 12%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 466 vs event baseline 138.5.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

451.3Season APEX228.9

46.7Auto13.6

148.7Teleop49.9

68.8Endgame44.7

13Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	62	27
teleop	203	55
endgame	46	38
foul	0	35
total	311	155

Result

Final score

311 – 155

Prediction correct · off by 46.2 pts

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.