Playoff · Playoff Match 1 R1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

407.11 – 52.38

98%2%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

0 – 24

Prediction missed · off by 217.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 502.9 ±11

9609Paraducks

Season APEX 246.2Event APEX 211.9Rank 1Record 11-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11300ZENITH

Season APEX 43.6Event APEX 22.61Rank 17Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7539Elev8

Season APEX 213.1Event APEX 172.6Rank 2Record 11-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 135.1 ±14.5

9583Lavender Robotics

Season APEX 34.5Event APEX 24.65Rank 12Record 6-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10998VOLTARIA ROBOTICS

Season APEX 48.7Event APEX 23.27Rank 16Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 77

9247SainTech Robotics

Season APEX 51.9Event APEX 4.46Rank 19Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 95

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9609, 11300, 7539

/ 100 compat

Projected

407.1 pts

~2.5 RP (regional)

Teams: 9609, 11300, 7539

Auto

91.0 22%

Teleop

214.7 52%

Endgame

103.7 25%

Strengths

· 9609 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9583, 10998, 9247

/ 100 compat

Projected

52.4 pts

~0.5 RP (regional)

Teams: 9583, 10998, 9247

Auto

27.0 51%

Teleop

17.0 32%

Endgame

8.9 17%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.51 · Blue 0.45

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score407.1pts

Blue projected score52.4pts

Red win probability98%

Event bonus sample152alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 46%, blue 37%

Supercharged bonusred 7%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 354.7
Score range: 27–432
Upset likelihood: 2%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Playoff

Combined score 24 vs event baseline 139.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

502.9Season APEX135.1

91Auto27

214.7Teleop17

103.7Endgame8.9

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	71	6
teleop	164	11
endgame	134	7
foul	0	0
total	0	24

Result

Final score

0 – 24

Prediction missed · off by 217.7 pts

Match videos

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