Playoff · Playoff Match 13 R5

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

233.27 – 328.56

23%77%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

164 – 348

Prediction correct · off by 44.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 451.3 ±10.4

10396Mostra

Season APEX 127.8Event APEX 75.23Rank 8Record 6-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4191IMC

Season APEX 105.4Event APEX 0.55Rank 31Record 2-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11141AlphaZ

Season APEX 218.1Event APEX 157.49Rank 4Record 9-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 502.9 ±11

11300ZENITH

Season APEX 43.6Event APEX -1.96Rank 17Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9609Paraducks

Season APEX 246.2Event APEX 184.44Rank 1Record 11-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7539Elev8

Season APEX 213.1Event APEX 146.08Rank 2Record 11-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10396, 4191, 11141

/ 100 compat

Projected

233.3 pts

~1.0 RP (regional)

Teams: 10396, 4191, 11141

Auto

48.0 21%

Teleop

131.8 57%

Endgame

50.7 22%

Strengths

· 11141 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 11300, 9609, 7539

/ 100 compat

Projected

328.6 pts

~2.1 RP (regional)

Teams: 11300, 9609, 7539

Auto

85.9 23%

Teleop

192.9 51%

Endgame

96.1 26%

Strengths

· 9609 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.97 · Blue 2.08

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score233.3pts

Blue projected score328.6pts

Red win probability23%

Event bonus sample152alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 45%, blue 46%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 7%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -95.3
Score range: 208–354
Upset likelihood: 23%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 512 vs event baseline 140.8.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

451.3Season APEX502.9

48Auto85.9

131.8Teleop192.9

50.7Endgame96.1

3Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	45	97
teleop	28	106
endgame	61	130
foul	30	15
total	164	348

Result

Final score

164 – 348

Prediction correct · off by 44.4 pts

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.