Qualification · Qualification 8

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

135.99 – 137.95

49%51%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

104 – 305

Prediction correct · off by 99.5 points

Limited current-season data (7 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 161.2 ±16.7

6430Kalsedon

Season APEX 14.7Event APEX 7.85Rank 28Record 3-8-0Status establishedConfidence 77

10396Mostra

Season APEX 127.8Event APEX 26.57Rank 8Record 6-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10940AVIATRONIX

Season APEX 18.7Event APEX 101.57Rank 30Record 2-9-0Status establishedConfidence 76

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 253.1 ±16

6431NoktaParantez

Season APEX 154Event APEX 83.65Rank 5Record 8-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6874Mediterra

Season APEX 58.9Event APEX 38.59Rank 7Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 77

8863ANATOLIAN DEAF ETERNALS ROBOTICS

Season APEX 40.2Event APEX 15.71Rank 22Record 4-7-0Status establishedConfidence 82

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6430, 10396, 10940

/ 100 compat

Projected

136 pts

~1.5 RP (regional)

Teams: 6430, 10396, 10940

Auto

24.9 20%

Teleop

84.8 67%

Endgame

16.9 13%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 42%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6431, 6874, 8863

/ 100 compat

Projected

138 pts

~1.5 RP (regional)

Teams: 6431, 6874, 8863

Auto

23.9 18%

Teleop

74.4 56%

Endgame

35.5 27%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 42%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.46 · Blue 1.49

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score136pts

Blue projected score138pts

Red win probability49%

Event bonus sample152alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 42%, blue 42%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -2
Score range: 111–163
Upset likelihood: 49%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 409 vs event baseline 140.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

161.2Season APEX253.1

24.9Auto23.9

84.8Teleop74.4

16.9Endgame35.5

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	1	10
teleop	68	139
endgame	35	156
foul	0	0
total	104	305

Result

Final score

104 – 305

Prediction correct · off by 99.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.