Qualification · Qualification 7

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

160 – 21.65

85%15%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

201 – 37

Prediction correct · off by 28.2 points

Limited current-season data (6 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 316.1 ±14.9

8056Laissez Faire

Season APEX 67.5Event APEX 12.29Rank 9Record 7-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10246ISTAF Team Infinitech

Season APEX 30.5Event APEX 41.71Rank 11Record 7-4-0Status establishedConfidence 77

11141AlphaZ

Season APEX 218.1Event APEX 106Rank 4Record 9-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 110.6 ±17.1

10998VOLTARIA ROBOTICS

Season APEX 48.7Event APEX -27.6Rank 16Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 77

8780TED ROBOTICS

Season APEX 18.3Event APEX 40.29Rank 27Record 4-7-0Status establishedConfidence 76

11300ZENITH

Season APEX 43.6Event APEX 8.96Rank 17Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8056, 10246, 11141

/ 100 compat

Projected

160 pts

~2.2 RP (regional)

Teams: 8056, 10246, 11141

Auto

31.1 22%

Teleop

80.9 57%

Endgame

30.9 22%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 44%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10998, 8780, 11300

/ 100 compat

Projected

21.7 pts

~0.7 RP (regional)

Teams: 10998, 8780, 11300

Auto

8.4 49%

Teleop

7.4 43%

Endgame

1.5 9%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 44%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.2 · Blue 0.68

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score160pts

Blue projected score21.7pts

Red win probability85%

Event bonus sample152alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 44%, blue 34%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 138.4
Score range: -4–186
Upset likelihood: 15%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 238 vs event baseline 143.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

316.1Season APEX110.6

31.1Auto8.4

80.9Teleop7.4

30.9Endgame1.5

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	47	13
teleop	101	3
endgame	53	16
foul	0	5
total	201	37

Result

Final score

201 – 37

Prediction correct · off by 28.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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