Qualification · Qualification 6

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

59.95 – 321.26

4%96%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

32 – 412

Prediction correct · off by 59.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 124.5 ±20.2

11022RISING STAR ROBOTIC TEAM

Season APEX 62.4Event APEX 27.4Rank 18Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 77

10180ÇOROBOT

Provisional

Season APEX 45.5Event APEX 14.06Rank 14Record 6-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 74

10472Bilkent Next

Provisional

Season APEX 16.6Event APEX 18.49Rank 29Record 3-8-0Status provisionalConfidence 74

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 443 ±14.4

9609Paraducks

Season APEX 246.2Event APEX 180.75Rank 1Record 11-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8079River Robotics Team

Season APEX 164.6Event APEX 124.06Rank 3Record 10-1-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11098MATRIX

Season APEX 32.2Event APEX 16.45Rank 13Record 6-5-0Status establishedConfidence 77

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 11022, 10180, 10472

/ 100 compat

Projected

60 pts

~0.6 RP (regional)

Teams: 11022, 10180, 10472

Auto

3.7 7%

Teleop

34.2 61%

Endgame

18.0 32%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 44%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9609, 8079, 11098

/ 100 compat

Projected

321.3 pts

~2.5 RP (regional)

Teams: 9609, 8079, 11098

Auto

76.8 24%

Teleop

158.8 49%

Endgame

85.5 27%

Strengths

· 9609 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 44%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.57 · Blue 2.54

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score60pts

Blue projected score321.3pts

Red win probability4%

Event bonus sample152alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 44%, blue 51%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 8%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -261.3
Score range: 34–347
Upset likelihood: 4%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 444 vs event baseline 144.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

124.5Season APEX443

3.7Auto76.8

34.2Teleop158.8

18Endgame85.5

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	6	94
teleop	9	190
endgame	17	128
foul	0	0
total	32	412

Result

Final score

32 – 412

Prediction correct · off by 59.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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