Qualification · Qualification 58

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

233.5 – 39.87

92%8%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

215 – 80

Prediction correct · off by 29.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 383 ±15.4

6399Tinspiratio

Season APEX 121.2Event APEX 33.6Rank 20Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 92

10998VOLTARIA ROBOTICS

Season APEX 48.7Event APEX 26.03Rank 16Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 77

7539Elev8

Season APEX 213.1Event APEX 173.87Rank 2Record 11-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 107.2 ±19.7

11064ASTERIA

Provisional

Season APEX 33.4Event APEX 2.19Rank 23Record 4-7-0Status provisionalConfidence 74

10478NEO Robotics

Provisional

Season APEX 33.6Event APEX 2.88Rank 25Record 4-7-0Status provisionalConfidence 74

8863ANATOLIAN DEAF ETERNALS ROBOTICS

Season APEX 40.2Event APEX 34.8Rank 22Record 4-7-0Status establishedConfidence 82

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6399, 10998, 7539

/ 100 compat

Projected

233.5 pts

~2.3 RP (regional)

Teams: 6399, 10998, 7539

Auto

45.5 20%

Teleop

127.2 55%

Endgame

57.6 25%

Strengths

· 7539 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 43%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 11064, 10478, 8863

/ 100 compat

Projected

39.9 pts

~0.5 RP (regional)

Teams: 11064, 10478, 8863

Auto

17.2 45%

Teleop

9.6 25%

Endgame

11.4 30%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 43%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.32 · Blue 0.51

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score233.5pts

Blue projected score39.9pts

Red win probability92%

Event bonus sample152alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 43%, blue 30%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 193.6
Score range: 15–259
Upset likelihood: 8%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 295 vs event baseline 141.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

383Season APEX107.2

45.5Auto17.2

127.2Teleop9.6

57.6Endgame11.4

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	35	21
teleop	113	30
endgame	67	29
foul	0	0
total	215	80

Result

Final score

215 – 80

Prediction correct · off by 29.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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