Qualification · Qualification 54

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

36.32 – 198.03

12%88%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

41 – 193

Prediction correct · off by 4.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 206 ±15.6

10542EAGLE WARRIORS

Season APEX 55.1Event APEX 19.72Rank 26Record 4-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4191IMC

Season APEX 105.4Event APEX 12.5Rank 31Record 2-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10180ÇOROBOT

Provisional

Season APEX 45.5Event APEX 4.1Rank 14Record 6-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 74

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 327.5 ±14

8079River Robotics Team

Season APEX 164.6Event APEX 129.79Rank 3Record 10-1-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6430Kalsedon

Season APEX 14.7Event APEX 17.44Rank 28Record 3-8-0Status establishedConfidence 77

5665FENERBAHÇE DOGUS SPARC

Season APEX 148.2Event APEX 50.8Rank 6Record 7-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10542, 4191, 10180

/ 100 compat

Projected

36.3 pts

~0.6 RP (regional)

Teams: 10542, 4191, 10180

Auto

-2.8 0%

Teleop

17.5 54%

Endgame

17.9 55%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 29%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8079, 6430, 5665

/ 100 compat

Projected

198 pts

~2.3 RP (regional)

Teams: 8079, 6430, 5665

Auto

43.3 23%

Teleop

100.2 53%

Endgame

44.9 24%

Strengths

· 8079 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 29%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.57 · Blue 2.32

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score36.3pts

Blue projected score198pts

Red win probability12%

Event bonus sample152alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 29%, blue 51%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -161.7
Score range: 10–224
Upset likelihood: 12%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 234 vs event baseline 141.9.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

206Season APEX327.5

-2.8Auto43.3

17.5Teleop100.2

17.9Endgame44.9

58Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	9	52
teleop	27	114
endgame	5	27
foul	0	0
total	41	193

Result

Final score

41 – 193

Prediction correct · off by 4.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.