Qualification · Qualification 53

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

51.62 – 45.73

52%48%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

58 – 33

Prediction correct · off by 9.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 131.1 ±17.5

9247SainTech Robotics

Season APEX 51.9Event APEX 11.5Rank 19Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 95

10998VOLTARIA ROBOTICS

Season APEX 48.7Event APEX 25.07Rank 16Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 77

10246ISTAF Team Infinitech

Season APEX 30.5Event APEX 15.05Rank 11Record 7-4-0Status establishedConfidence 77

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 114.7 ±18.1

8557ConquEra

Season APEX 62.6Event APEX 38.81Rank 15Record 6-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10940AVIATRONIX

Season APEX 18.7Event APEX 3.77Rank 30Record 2-9-0Status establishedConfidence 76

11064ASTERIA

Provisional

Season APEX 33.4Event APEX 3.15Rank 23Record 4-7-0Status provisionalConfidence 74

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9247, 10998, 10246

/ 100 compat

Projected

51.6 pts

~1.4 RP (regional)

Teams: 9247, 10998, 10246

Auto

24.7 56%

Teleop

16.8 38%

Endgame

2.9 7%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 36%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8557, 10940, 11064

/ 100 compat

Projected

45.7 pts

~1.4 RP (regional)

Teams: 8557, 10940, 11064

Auto

24.2 48%

Teleop

21.4 43%

Endgame

4.6 9%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 36%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.43 · Blue 1.36

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score51.6pts

Blue projected score45.7pts

Red win probability52%

Event bonus sample152alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 36%, blue 33%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 5%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 5.9
Score range: 20–78
Upset likelihood: 48%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 91 vs event baseline 143.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

131.1Season APEX114.7

24.7Auto24.2

16.8Teleop21.4

2.9Endgame4.6

4Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	14	20
teleop	25	0
endgame	19	8
foul	0	5
total	58	33

Result

Final score

58 – 33

Prediction correct · off by 9.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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