Qualification · Qualification 45

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

69.46 – 211.87

15%85%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

5 – 107

Prediction correct · off by 84.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 202.3 ±18

11022RISING STAR ROBOTIC TEAM

Season APEX 62.4Event APEX 28.01Rank 18Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 77

6399Tinspiratio

Season APEX 121.2Event APEX 32.68Rank 20Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 92

10940AVIATRONIX

Season APEX 18.7Event APEX 8.77Rank 30Record 2-9-0Status establishedConfidence 76

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 302.2 ±15.1

10180ÇOROBOT

Provisional

Season APEX 45.5Event APEX 15.31Rank 14Record 6-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 74

11300ZENITH

Season APEX 43.6Event APEX 18.5Rank 17Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7539Elev8

Season APEX 213.1Event APEX 178.06Rank 2Record 11-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 11022, 6399, 10940

/ 100 compat

Projected

69.5 pts

~0.7 RP (regional)

Teams: 11022, 6399, 10940

Auto

1.6 2%

Teleop

43.9 62%

Endgame

24.8 35%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 37%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10180, 11300, 7539

/ 100 compat

Projected

211.9 pts

~2.2 RP (regional)

Teams: 10180, 11300, 7539

Auto

37.4 18%

Teleop

115.8 55%

Endgame

55.7 27%

Strengths

· 7539 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 37%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.72 · Blue 2.19

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score69.5pts

Blue projected score211.9pts

Red win probability15%

Event bonus sample152alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 37%, blue 42%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -142.4
Score range: 44–237
Upset likelihood: 15%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 112 vs event baseline 140.4.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

202.3Season APEX302.2

1.6Auto37.4

43.9Teleop115.8

24.8Endgame55.7

19Consistency23

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	0	8
teleop	5	78
endgame	0	21
foul	0	0
total	5	107

Result

Final score

5 – 107

Prediction correct · off by 84.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.