Qualification · Qualification 32

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

363.55 – 47.18

98%2%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

355 – 56

Prediction correct · off by 8.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 424 ±11.7

6431NoktaParantez

Season APEX 154Event APEX 187.43Rank 5Record 8-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11141AlphaZ

Season APEX 218.1Event APEX 162.29Rank 4Record 9-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9247SainTech Robotics

Season APEX 51.9Event APEX 13.83Rank 19Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 95

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 174.8 ±19.2

10478NEO Robotics

Provisional

Season APEX 33.6Event APEX 19.12Rank 25Record 4-7-0Status provisionalConfidence 74

11099Capella Robotics

Provisional

Season APEX 20Event APEX 7.8Rank 33Record 2-9-0Status provisionalConfidence 74

6399Tinspiratio

Season APEX 121.2Event APEX 20.26Rank 20Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 92

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6431, 11141, 9247

/ 100 compat

Projected

363.6 pts

~2.6 RP (regional)

Teams: 6431, 11141, 9247

Auto

53.0 15%

Teleop

207.5 57%

Endgame

104.3 29%

Strengths

· 6431 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10478, 11099, 6399

/ 100 compat

Projected

47.2 pts

~0.4 RP (regional)

Teams: 10478, 11099, 6399

Auto

-2.7 0%

Teleop

21.1 52%

Endgame

22.2 55%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.57 · Blue 0.36

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score363.6pts

Blue projected score47.2pts

Red win probability98%

Event bonus sample152alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 52%, blue 28%

Supercharged bonusred 6%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 316.4
Score range: 22–389
Upset likelihood: 2%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 411 vs event baseline 137.2.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

424Season APEX174.8

53Auto-2.7

207.5Teleop21.1

104.3Endgame22.2

8Consistency76

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	69	14
teleop	175	20
endgame	96	22
foul	15	0
total	355	56

Result

Final score

355 – 56

Prediction correct · off by 8.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.