Qualification · Qualification 13

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

85.62 – 131.24

36%64%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

73 – 275

Prediction correct · off by 78.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 81.5 ±19.7

11257Hi-Sac

Provisional

Season APEX 24.7Event APEX 45.21Rank 32Record 2-9-0Status provisionalConfidence 74

8863ANATOLIAN DEAF ETERNALS ROBOTICS

Season APEX 40.2Event APEX 62.96Rank 22Record 4-7-0Status establishedConfidence 82

10472Bilkent Next

Provisional

Season APEX 16.6Event APEX -22.55Rank 29Record 3-8-0Status provisionalConfidence 74

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 214.2 ±17.3

6430Kalsedon

Season APEX 14.7Event APEX 17.24Rank 28Record 3-8-0Status establishedConfidence 77

10180ÇOROBOT

Provisional

Season APEX 45.5Event APEX -8.35Rank 14Record 6-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 74

6431NoktaParantez

Season APEX 154Event APEX 122.35Rank 5Record 8-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 11257, 8863, 10472

/ 100 compat

Projected

85.6 pts

~1.1 RP (regional)

Teams: 11257, 8863, 10472

Auto

4.4 6%

Teleop

16.4 23%

Endgame

51.1 71%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 34%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6430, 10180, 6431

/ 100 compat

Projected

131.2 pts

~1.8 RP (regional)

Teams: 6430, 10180, 6431

Auto

11.3 9%

Teleop

47.7 36%

Endgame

72.4 55%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 34%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.1 · Blue 1.83

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score85.6pts

Blue projected score131.2pts

Red win probability36%

Event bonus sample152alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 34%, blue 49%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -45.6
Score range: 59–158
Upset likelihood: 36%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 348 vs event baseline 149.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

81.5Season APEX214.2

4.4Auto11.3

16.4Teleop47.7

51.1Endgame72.4

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	16	31
teleop	40	173
endgame	17	71
foul	0	0
total	73	275

Result

Final score

73 – 275

Prediction correct · off by 78.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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