Playoff · Playoff Match 7 R2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

320.86 – 74.78

96%4%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

458 – 28

Prediction correct · off by 92 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 425.8 ±41.7

11138TEKNOROB

Season APEX 100.5Event APEX 95.17Rank 2Record 11-3-0Status establishedConfidence 79

6459AG Robotik

A+

Season APEX 325.3Event APEX 215.01Rank 1Record 12-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9993Off-Season Demo Team 9993

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 10.68Rank 14Record 5-9-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 101.7 ±20.4

11416Raptoris Robotics

Season APEX 34.5Event APEX -2.5Rank 17Record 5-9-0Status establishedConfidence 80

10243Yücel Boru ANATOLIAN WOLVES

Provisional

Season APEX 36.7Event APEX 48.58Rank 6Record 8-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 69

10246ISTAF Team Infinitech

Season APEX 30.5Event APEX 28.7Rank 7Record 8-6-0Status establishedConfidence 77

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 11138, 6459, 9993

/ 100 compat

Projected

320.9 pts

~2.4 RP (offseason)

Teams: 11138, 6459, 9993

Auto

47.2 17%

Teleop

168.3 62%

Endgame

57.3 21%

Strengths

· 6459 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 42%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 11416, 10243, 10246

/ 100 compat

Projected

74.8 pts

~0.5 RP (offseason)

Teams: 11416, 10243, 10246

Auto

13.7 19%

Teleop

43.8 60%

Endgame

15.8 22%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 42%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.42 · Blue 0.45

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score320.9pts

Blue projected score74.8pts

Red win probability96%

Event bonus sample128alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 42%, blue 32%

Supercharged bonusred 7%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 246.1
Score range: 54–342
Upset likelihood: 4%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 486 vs event baseline 116.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

425.8Season APEX101.7

47.2Auto13.7

168.3Teleop43.8

57.3Endgame15.8

0Consistency91

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	88	9
teleop	218	4
endgame	117	0
foul	35	15
total	458	28

Result

Final score

458 – 28

Prediction correct · off by 92 pts