Playoff · Playoff Match 5 R2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

0 – 54.01

34%66%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

0 – 1

Prediction correct · off by 26.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 0 ±56.6

9973Off-Season Demo Team 9973

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 0Rank -Record -Status preseasonConfidence 0

9972Off-Season Demo Team 9972

Season APEX -Event APEX 0Rank -Record -Status -Confidence -

9975Off-Season Demo Team 9975

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 0Rank -Record -Status preseasonConfidence 0

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 125.7 ±43.2

10470Sancar Robotics

Season APEX 49.5Event APEX -5.93Rank 16Record 5-9-0Status establishedConfidence 77

10415Torchers

Provisional

Season APEX 76.2Event APEX 33.03Rank 9Record 7-7-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

9990Off-Season Demo Team 9990

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 26.91Rank 18Record 5-9-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9973, 9972, 9975

/ 100 compat

Projected

0 pts

~0.9 RP (offseason)

Teams: 9973, 9972, 9975

Auto

0.0 0%

Teleop

0.0 0%

Endgame

0.0 0%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 19%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10470, 10415, 9990

/ 100 compat

Projected

54 pts

~1.6 RP (offseason)

Teams: 10470, 10415, 9990

Auto

15.5 28%

Teleop

27.7 50%

Endgame

11.7 21%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 19%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 0.9 · Blue 1.59

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score0pts

Blue projected score54pts

Red win probability34%

Event bonus sample128alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 19%, blue 22%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -54
Score range: -22–76
Upset likelihood: 34%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Close match

Playoff

Combined score 1 vs event baseline 120.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

0Season APEX125.7

0Auto15.5

0Teleop27.7

0Endgame11.7

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	0	0
teleop	0	1
endgame	0	0
foul	0	0
total	0	1

Result

Final score

0 – 1

Prediction correct · off by 26.5 pts