Playoff · Playoff Match 3 R1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

156.6 – 59.49

77%23%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

400 – 0

Prediction correct · off by 151.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 102 ±44

8795The Chaotics

Provisional

Season APEX 43.2Event APEX 66.86Rank 5Record 8-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 74

11453FutureX Robotics

Provisional

Season APEX 58.8Event APEX 70.07Rank 3Record 10-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 69

9991Off-Season Demo Team 9991

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 19.67Rank 21Record 4-10-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 0 ±40

9971Off-Season Demo Team 9971

Season APEX -Event APEX -Rank -Record -Status -Confidence -

9970Off-Season Demo Team 9970

Season APEX -Event APEX -Rank -Record -Status -Confidence -

9974Off-Season Demo Team 9974

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX -Rank -Record -Status preseasonConfidence 0

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8795, 11453, 9991

/ 100 compat

Projected

156.6 pts

~1.9 RP (offseason)

Teams: 8795, 11453, 9991

Auto

15.1 11%

Teleop

80.2 59%

Endgame

40.1 30%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 26%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9971, 9970, 9974

/ 100 compat

Projected

59.5 pts

~0.7 RP (offseason)

Teams: 9971, 9970, 9974

Auto

17.8 30%

Teleop

29.7 50%

Endgame

11.9 20%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 26%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.85 · Blue 0.69

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score156.6pts

Blue projected score59.5pts

Red win probability77%

Event bonus sample128alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 26%, blue 19%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 97.1
Score range: 38–178
Upset likelihood: 23%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 400 vs event baseline 119.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

102Season APEX0

15.1Auto-

80.2Teleop-

40.1Endgame-

32Consistency-

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	0	0
teleop	0	0
endgame	0	0
foul	400	0
total	400	0

Result

Final score

400 – 0

Prediction correct · off by 151.4 pts