Playoff · Playoff Match 2 R1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

71.7 – 67.32

51%49%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

94 – 17

Prediction correct · off by 36.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 101.7 ±20.4

10243Yücel Boru ANATOLIAN WOLVES

Provisional

Season APEX 36.7Event APEX 48.54Rank 6Record 8-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 69

11416Raptoris Robotics

Season APEX 34.5Event APEX -4.42Rank 17Record 5-9-0Status establishedConfidence 80

10246ISTAF Team Infinitech

Season APEX 30.5Event APEX 27.58Rank 7Record 8-6-0Status establishedConfidence 77

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 125.7 ±43.2

10470Sancar Robotics

Season APEX 49.5Event APEX -0.3Rank 16Record 5-9-0Status establishedConfidence 77

10415Torchers

Provisional

Season APEX 76.2Event APEX 36.76Rank 9Record 7-7-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

9990Off-Season Demo Team 9990

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 30.86Rank 18Record 5-9-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10243, 11416, 10246

/ 100 compat

Projected

71.7 pts

~1.4 RP (offseason)

Teams: 10243, 11416, 10246

Auto

12.1 19%

Teleop

34.9 55%

Endgame

16.7 26%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 32%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10470, 10415, 9990

/ 100 compat

Projected

67.3 pts

~1.2 RP (offseason)

Teams: 10470, 10415, 9990

Auto

15.3 25%

Teleop

33.0 54%

Endgame

12.9 21%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 32%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.38 · Blue 1.24

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score71.7pts

Blue projected score67.3pts

Red win probability51%

Event bonus sample128alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 32%, blue 22%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 4.4
Score range: 45–94
Upset likelihood: 49%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Playoff

Combined score 111 vs event baseline 120.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

101.7Season APEX125.7

12.1Auto15.3

34.9Teleop33

16.7Endgame12.9

92Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	18	17
teleop	70	0
endgame	6	0
foul	0	0
total	94	17

Result

Final score

94 – 17

Prediction correct · off by 36.3 pts