Playoff · Playoff Match 1 R1
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
338.73 – 60.1
97%3%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
245 – 0
Prediction correct · off by 76.9 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 425.8 ±41.7
Season APEX 100.5Event APEX 101.77Rank 2Record 11-3-0Status establishedConfidence 79
Season APEX 325.3Event APEX 220.88Rank 1Record 12-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 0Event APEX 16.08Rank 14Record 5-9-0Status preseasonConfidence 0
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 0 ±56.6
Season APEX 0Event APEX -Rank -Record -Status preseasonConfidence 0
Season APEX -Event APEX -Rank -Record -Status -Confidence -
Season APEX 0Event APEX -Rank -Record -Status preseasonConfidence 0
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 11138, 6459, 9993
79
/ 100 compatProjected
338.7 pts
~2.5 RP (offseason)
Teams: 11138, 6459, 9993
Auto
56.7 17%
Teleop
201.3 62%
Endgame
67.5 21%
Strengths
- · 6459 anchors offense
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 42%
Supercharged: 7%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 9973, 9972, 9975
50
/ 100 compatProjected
60.1 pts
~0.3 RP (offseason)
Teams: 9973, 9972, 9975
Auto
18.0 30%
Teleop
30.1 50%
Endgame
12.0 20%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 42%
Supercharged: 7%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.45 · Blue 0.29
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setOffseason
Red projected score338.7pts
Blue projected score60.1pts
Red win probability97%
Event bonus sample128alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 42%, blue 19%
Supercharged bonusred 7%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 278.6
- Score range
- 38–361
- Upset likelihood
- 3%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
425.8Season APEX0
56.7Auto-
201.3Teleop-
67.5Endgame-
0Consistency-
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 0 | 0 |
| teleop | 0 | 0 |
| endgame | 0 | 0 |
| foul | 245 | 0 |
| total | 245 | 0 |
Result
Final score
245 – 0
Prediction correct · off by 76.9 pts