Playoff · Playoff Match 13 R5

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

191.83 – 81.65

80%20%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

341 – 16

Prediction correct · off by 107.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 102 ±44

9991Off-Season Demo Team 9991

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 30.22Rank 21Record 4-10-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

8795The Chaotics

Provisional

Season APEX 43.2Event APEX 79.06Rank 5Record 8-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 74

11453FutureX Robotics

Provisional

Season APEX 58.8Event APEX 82.55Rank 3Record 10-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 69

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 66 ±42.9

6038ITOBOT

Season APEX 27.3Event APEX 26.76Rank 8Record 7-7-0Status establishedConfidence 76

11365Ignite Robotics

Season APEX 38.7Event APEX 46.27Rank 4Record 10-4-0Status establishedConfidence 76

9995Off-Season Demo Team 9995

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 8.62Rank 19Record 5-9-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9991, 8795, 11453

/ 100 compat

Projected

191.8 pts

~1.9 RP (offseason)

Teams: 9991, 8795, 11453

Auto

14.1 11%

Teleop

73.9 59%

Endgame

37.1 30%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 26%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6038, 11365, 9995

/ 100 compat

Projected

81.7 pts

~0.7 RP (offseason)

Teams: 6038, 11365, 9995

Auto

19.2 26%

Teleop

35.3 48%

Endgame

19.4 26%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 26%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.91 · Blue 0.7

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score191.8pts

Blue projected score81.7pts

Red win probability80%

Event bonus sample128alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 26%, blue 23%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 110.2
Score range: 60–214
Upset likelihood: 20%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 357 vs event baseline 119.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

102Season APEX66

14.1Auto19.2

73.9Teleop35.3

37.1Endgame19.4

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	27	13
teleop	177	2
endgame	17	1
foul	120	0
total	341	16

Result

Final score

341 – 16

Prediction correct · off by 107.4 pts