Playoff · Playoff Match 11 R4

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

341.78 – 189.46

87%13%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

411 – 210

Prediction correct · off by 44.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 425.8 ±41.7

11138TEKNOROB

Season APEX 100.5Event APEX 102.85Rank 2Record 11-3-0Status establishedConfidence 79

6459AG Robotik

A+

Season APEX 325.3Event APEX 221.31Rank 1Record 12-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9993Off-Season Demo Team 9993

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 17.62Rank 14Record 5-9-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 102 ±44

9991Off-Season Demo Team 9991

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 29.62Rank 21Record 4-10-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

8795The Chaotics

Provisional

Season APEX 43.2Event APEX 78.14Rank 5Record 8-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 74

11453FutureX Robotics

Provisional

Season APEX 58.8Event APEX 81.7Rank 3Record 10-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 69

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 11138, 6459, 9993

/ 100 compat

Projected

341.8 pts

~2.2 RP (offseason)

Teams: 11138, 6459, 9993

Auto

52.6 18%

Teleop

176.4 60%

Endgame

66.2 22%

Strengths

· 6459 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 42%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9991, 8795, 11453

/ 100 compat

Projected

189.5 pts

~0.6 RP (offseason)

Teams: 9991, 8795, 11453

Auto

14.0 12%

Teleop

70.2 60%

Endgame

32.1 28%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 42%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.24 · Blue 0.57

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score341.8pts

Blue projected score189.5pts

Red win probability87%

Event bonus sample128alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 42%, blue 26%

Supercharged bonusred 7%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 152.3
Score range: 168–363
Upset likelihood: 13%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 621 vs event baseline 117.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

425.8Season APEX102

52.6Auto14

176.4Teleop70.2

66.2Endgame32.1

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	69	16
teleop	233	101
endgame	109	73
foul	0	20
total	411	210

Result

Final score

411 – 210

Prediction correct · off by 44.9 pts