Qualification · Qualification 7

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

69.51 – 83.82

46%54%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

133 – 211

Prediction correct · off by 95.3 points

Limited current-season data (6 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 132.4 ±42.4

11138TEKNOROB

Season APEX 100.5Event APEX 44.52Rank 2Record 11-3-0Status establishedConfidence 79

11255KAR Robotics

Season APEX 31.9Event APEX 18.39Rank 13Record 6-7-0Status establishedConfidence 79

9991Off-Season Demo Team 9991

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 6.6Rank 21Record 4-10-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 433.6 ±18.8

11453FutureX Robotics

Provisional

Season APEX 58.8Event APEX 58.46Rank 3Record 10-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 69

6459AG Robotik

A+

Season APEX 325.3Event APEX 20.46Rank 1Record 12-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10470Sancar Robotics

Season APEX 49.5Event APEX 4.9Rank 16Record 5-9-0Status establishedConfidence 77

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 11138, 11255, 9991

/ 100 compat

Projected

69.5 pts

~1.2 RP (offseason)

Teams: 11138, 11255, 9991

Auto

12.7 16%

Teleop

54.0 67%

Endgame

13.7 17%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 25%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 11453, 6459, 10470

/ 100 compat

Projected

83.8 pts

~1.6 RP (offseason)

Teams: 11453, 6459, 10470

Auto

20.7 30%

Teleop

43.8 63%

Endgame

5.3 8%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 25%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.22 · Blue 1.55

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score69.5pts

Blue projected score83.8pts

Red win probability46%

Event bonus sample128alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 25%, blue 40%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -14.3
Score range: 55–99
Upset likelihood: 46%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 344 vs event baseline 85.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

132.4Season APEX433.6

12.7Auto20.7

54Teleop43.8

13.7Endgame5.3

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	21	8
teleop	56	131
endgame	21	72
foul	35	0
total	133	211

Result

Final score

133 – 211

Prediction correct · off by 95.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree