Qualification · Qualification 49

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

264.75 – 107.51

88%12%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

230 – 125

Prediction correct · off by 26.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 355.8 ±41.9

10246ISTAF Team Infinitech

Season APEX 30.5Event APEX 28.84Rank 7Record 8-6-0Status establishedConfidence 77

9992Off-Season Demo Team 9992

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 12.4Rank 20Record 5-9-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

6459AG Robotik

A+

Season APEX 325.3Event APEX 223.51Rank 1Record 12-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 96 ±44.3

10243Yücel Boru ANATOLIAN WOLVES

Provisional

Season APEX 36.7Event APEX 47.71Rank 6Record 8-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 69

9160YAL THUNDERS

Provisional

Season APEX 59.3Event APEX 30.59Rank 15Record 5-9-0Status provisionalConfidence 70

9990Off-Season Demo Team 9990

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 29.21Rank 18Record 5-9-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10246, 9992, 6459

/ 100 compat

Projected

264.8 pts

~2.2 RP (offseason)

Teams: 10246, 9992, 6459

Auto

45.4 18%

Teleop

161.0 62%

Endgame

52.1 20%

Strengths

· 6459 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 36%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10243, 9160, 9990

/ 100 compat

Projected

107.5 pts

~0.5 RP (offseason)

Teams: 10243, 9160, 9990

Auto

5.8 6%

Teleop

57.4 64%

Endgame

27.0 30%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 36%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.17 · Blue 0.53

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score264.8pts

Blue projected score107.5pts

Red win probability88%

Event bonus sample128alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 36%, blue 22%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 157.2
Score range: 87–286
Upset likelihood: 12%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 355 vs event baseline 119.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

355.8Season APEX96

45.4Auto5.8

161Teleop57.4

52.1Endgame27

75Consistency39

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	73	7
teleop	78	63
endgame	54	25
foul	25	30
total	230	125

Result

Final score

230 – 125

Prediction correct · off by 26.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree