Qualification · Qualification 46

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

327.47 – 147.32

90%10%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

150 – 151

Prediction missed · off by 90.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 362 ±42.8

6459AG Robotik

A+

Season APEX 325.3Event APEX 236.23Rank 1Record 12-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10243Yücel Boru ANATOLIAN WOLVES

Provisional

Season APEX 36.7Event APEX 60.06Rank 6Record 8-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 69

9991Off-Season Demo Team 9991

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 31.18Rank 21Record 4-10-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 176.7 ±42.9

11138TEKNOROB

Season APEX 100.5Event APEX 100.6Rank 2Record 11-3-0Status establishedConfidence 79

10415Torchers

Provisional

Season APEX 76.2Event APEX 33.57Rank 9Record 7-7-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

9993Off-Season Demo Team 9993

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 13.15Rank 14Record 5-9-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6459, 10243, 9991

/ 100 compat

Projected

327.5 pts

~2.2 RP (offseason)

Teams: 6459, 10243, 9991

Auto

51.0 16%

Teleop

192.4 62%

Endgame

67.7 22%

Strengths

· 6459 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 31%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 11138, 10415, 9993

/ 100 compat

Projected

147.3 pts

~0.6 RP (offseason)

Teams: 11138, 10415, 9993

Auto

26.7 21%

Teleop

74.1 57%

Endgame

28.5 22%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 31%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.18 · Blue 0.57

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score327.5pts

Blue projected score147.3pts

Red win probability90%

Event bonus sample128alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 31%, blue 32%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 180.2
Score range: 125–349
Upset likelihood: 10%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Close match

High scoring

Combined score 301 vs event baseline 121.1.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

362Season APEX176.7

51Auto26.7

192.4Teleop74.1

67.7Endgame28.5

75Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	14	29
teleop	75	78
endgame	56	29
foul	5	15
total	150	151

Result

Final score

150 – 151

Prediction missed · off by 90.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree