Qualification · Qualification 45

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

35.1 – 91.88

33%67%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

40 – 119

Prediction correct · off by 16 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 54.7 ±58

10521ERA Robotics

Provisional

Season APEX 54.7Event APEX 10.96Rank 10Record 7-7-0Status provisionalConfidence 70

9995Off-Season Demo Team 9995

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 15.22Rank 19Record 5-9-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

9992Off-Season Demo Team 9992

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 8.92Rank 20Record 5-9-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 138.8 ±20.9

10246ISTAF Team Infinitech

Season APEX 30.5Event APEX 26.52Rank 7Record 8-6-0Status establishedConfidence 77

11453FutureX Robotics

Provisional

Season APEX 58.8Event APEX 67.15Rank 3Record 10-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 69

10470Sancar Robotics

Season APEX 49.5Event APEX -1.79Rank 16Record 5-9-0Status establishedConfidence 77

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10521, 9995, 9992

/ 100 compat

Projected

35.1 pts

~0.9 RP (offseason)

Teams: 10521, 9995, 9992

Auto

6.7 29%

Teleop

9.0 39%

Endgame

7.6 33%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 22%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10246, 11453, 10470

/ 100 compat

Projected

91.9 pts

~1.7 RP (offseason)

Teams: 10246, 11453, 10470

Auto

8.3 11%

Teleop

47.2 61%

Endgame

21.4 28%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 22%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 0.92 · Blue 1.72

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score35.1pts

Blue projected score91.9pts

Red win probability33%

Event bonus sample128alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 22%, blue 34%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -56.8
Score range: 13–114
Upset likelihood: 33%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 159 vs event baseline 122.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

54.7Season APEX138.8

6.7Auto8.3

9Teleop47.2

7.6Endgame21.4

32Consistency55

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	14	4
teleop	18	87
endgame	8	13
foul	0	15
total	40	119

Result

Final score

40 – 119

Prediction correct · off by 16 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree