Qualification · Qualification 42

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

161.4 – 152.64

53%47%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

110 – 162

Prediction missed · off by 30.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 100.5 ±57.4

9991Off-Season Demo Team 9991

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 37.49Rank 21Record 4-10-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

11138TEKNOROB

Season APEX 100.5Event APEX 104.91Rank 2Record 11-3-0Status establishedConfidence 79

9995Off-Season Demo Team 9995

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 19Rank 19Record 5-9-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 122.8 ±22.6

6038ITOBOT

Season APEX 27.3Event APEX 28.78Rank 8Record 7-7-0Status establishedConfidence 76

11453FutureX Robotics

Provisional

Season APEX 58.8Event APEX 65.24Rank 3Record 10-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 69

10243Yücel Boru ANATOLIAN WOLVES

Provisional

Season APEX 36.7Event APEX 58.62Rank 6Record 8-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 69

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9991, 11138, 9995

/ 100 compat

Projected

161.4 pts

~1.3 RP (offseason)

Teams: 9991, 11138, 9995

Auto

27.0 19%

Teleop

81.8 57%

Endgame

33.8 24%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 23%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6038, 11453, 10243

/ 100 compat

Projected

152.6 pts

~1.3 RP (offseason)

Teams: 6038, 11453, 10243

Auto

0.2 0%

Teleop

87.4 67%

Endgame

43.0 33%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 23%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.34 · Blue 1.33

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score161.4pts

Blue projected score152.6pts

Red win probability53%

Event bonus sample128alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 23%, blue 33%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 8.8
Score range: 131–183
Upset likelihood: 47%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 272 vs event baseline 124.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

100.5Season APEX122.8

27Auto0.2

81.8Teleop87.4

33.8Endgame43

35Consistency49

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	39	6
teleop	30	82
endgame	21	44
foul	20	30
total	110	162

Result

Final score

110 – 162

Prediction missed · off by 30.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree