Qualification · Qualification 36

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

66.33 – 26.15

62%38%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

79 – 23

Prediction correct · off by 7.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 106.7 ±43.2

10415Torchers

Provisional

Season APEX 76.2Event APEX 31.32Rank 9Record 7-7-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

10246ISTAF Team Infinitech

Season APEX 30.5Event APEX 22.76Rank 7Record 8-6-0Status establishedConfidence 77

9997Off-Season Demo Team 9997

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 12.25Rank 12Record 6-8-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 66.4 ±42.4

11416Raptoris Robotics

Season APEX 34.5Event APEX -5.41Rank 17Record 5-9-0Status establishedConfidence 80

9995Off-Season Demo Team 9995

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 18.86Rank 19Record 5-9-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

11255KAR Robotics

Season APEX 31.9Event APEX 12.7Rank 13Record 6-7-0Status establishedConfidence 79

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10415, 10246, 9997

/ 100 compat

Projected

66.3 pts

~1.6 RP (offseason)

Teams: 10415, 10246, 9997

Auto

20.0 38%

Teleop

24.3 46%

Endgame

9.0 17%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 29%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 11416, 9995, 11255

/ 100 compat

Projected

26.2 pts

~1.0 RP (offseason)

Teams: 11416, 9995, 11255

Auto

16.4 83%

Teleop

4.9 25%

Endgame

-1.5 0%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 29%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.58 · Blue 1.01

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score66.3pts

Blue projected score26.2pts

Red win probability62%

Event bonus sample128alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 29%, blue 21%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 40.2
Score range: 4–88
Upset likelihood: 38%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 102 vs event baseline 123.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

106.7Season APEX66.4

20Auto16.4

24.3Teleop4.9

9Endgame-1.5

82Consistency36

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	17	16
teleop	16	4
endgame	11	3
foul	35	0
total	79	23

Result

Final score

79 – 23

Prediction correct · off by 7.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree