Qualification · Qualification 34

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

67.71 – 217.9

13%87%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

92 – 352

Prediction correct · off by 79.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 85.2 ±43.5

10246ISTAF Team Infinitech

Season APEX 30.5Event APEX 21Rank 7Record 8-6-0Status establishedConfidence 77

10521ERA Robotics

Provisional

Season APEX 54.7Event APEX 15.16Rank 10Record 7-7-0Status provisionalConfidence 70

9991Off-Season Demo Team 9991

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 31.55Rank 21Record 4-10-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 357.2 ±41.7

11255KAR Robotics

Season APEX 31.9Event APEX 1.58Rank 13Record 6-7-0Status establishedConfidence 79

9995Off-Season Demo Team 9995

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 6.09Rank 19Record 5-9-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

6459AG Robotik

A+

Season APEX 325.3Event APEX 210.23Rank 1Record 12-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10246, 10521, 9991

/ 100 compat

Projected

67.7 pts

~0.6 RP (offseason)

Teams: 10246, 10521, 9991

Auto

18.7 58%

Teleop

12.0 37%

Endgame

1.7 5%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 24%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 11255, 9995, 6459

/ 100 compat

Projected

217.9 pts

~2.1 RP (offseason)

Teams: 11255, 9995, 6459

Auto

46.3 22%

Teleop

129.6 60%

Endgame

38.4 18%

Strengths

· 6459 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 24%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 0.55 · Blue 2.09

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score67.7pts

Blue projected score217.9pts

Red win probability13%

Event bonus sample128alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 24%, blue 29%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -150.2
Score range: 46–240
Upset likelihood: 13%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 444 vs event baseline 120.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

85.2Season APEX357.2

18.7Auto46.3

12Teleop129.6

1.7Endgame38.4

65Consistency29

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	21	61
teleop	29	204
endgame	7	57
foul	35	30
total	92	352

Result

Final score

92 – 352

Prediction correct · off by 79.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree