Qualification · Qualification 33

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

57.22 – 116.03

32%68%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

64 – 125

Prediction correct · off by 7.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 136.1 ±20.3

6038ITOBOT

Season APEX 27.3Event APEX 34.72Rank 8Record 7-7-0Status establishedConfidence 76

9160YAL THUNDERS

Provisional

Season APEX 59.3Event APEX 34.7Rank 15Record 5-9-0Status provisionalConfidence 70

10470Sancar Robotics

Season APEX 49.5Event APEX -12.2Rank 16Record 5-9-0Status establishedConfidence 77

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 135 ±42.4

9997Off-Season Demo Team 9997

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 12.29Rank 12Record 6-8-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

11138TEKNOROB

Season APEX 100.5Event APEX 109.91Rank 2Record 11-3-0Status establishedConfidence 79

11416Raptoris Robotics

Season APEX 34.5Event APEX -6.17Rank 17Record 5-9-0Status establishedConfidence 80

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6038, 9160, 10470

/ 100 compat

Projected

57.2 pts

~0.9 RP (offseason)

Teams: 6038, 9160, 10470

Auto

4.9 13%

Teleop

17.1 45%

Endgame

15.9 42%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 22%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9997, 11138, 11416

/ 100 compat

Projected

116 pts

~1.7 RP (offseason)

Teams: 9997, 11138, 11416

Auto

20.9 20%

Teleop

61.1 57%

Endgame

24.4 23%

Strengths

· 11138 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 22%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 0.94 · Blue 1.71

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score57.2pts

Blue projected score116pts

Red win probability32%

Event bonus sample128alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 22%, blue 30%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -58.8
Score range: 35–138
Upset likelihood: 32%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 189 vs event baseline 121.4.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

136.1Season APEX135

4.9Auto20.9

17.1Teleop61.1

15.9Endgame24.4

1Consistency78

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	21	20
teleop	35	63
endgame	8	22
foul	0	20
total	64	125

Result

Final score

64 – 125

Prediction correct · off by 7.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree