Qualification · Qualification 3

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

161.19 – 190.5

41%59%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

139 – 190

Prediction correct · off by 11.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 158.3 ±18.5

10246ISTAF Team Infinitech

Season APEX 30.5Event APEX 24Rank 7Record 8-6-0Status establishedConfidence 77

6038ITOBOT

Season APEX 27.3Event APEX 22.83Rank 8Record 7-7-0Status establishedConfidence 76

11138TEKNOROB

Season APEX 100.5Event APEX 114.36Rank 2Record 11-3-0Status establishedConfidence 79

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 164.4 ±21.5

8795The Chaotics

Provisional

Season APEX 43.2Event APEX 81.71Rank 5Record 8-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 74

11022RISING STAR ROBOTIC TEAM

Season APEX 62.4Event APEX 23.75Rank 11Record 7-7-0Status establishedConfidence 77

11453FutureX Robotics

Provisional

Season APEX 58.8Event APEX 85.04Rank 3Record 10-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 69

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10246, 6038, 11138

/ 100 compat

Projected

161.2 pts

~1.3 RP (offseason)

Teams: 10246, 6038, 11138

Auto

25.0 18%

Teleop

76.7 57%

Endgame

33.8 25%

Strengths

· 11138 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 35%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8795, 11022, 11453

/ 100 compat

Projected

190.5 pts

~1.5 RP (offseason)

Teams: 8795, 11022, 11453

Auto

9.2 6%

Teleop

95.8 66%

Endgame

39.7 27%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 35%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.25 · Blue 1.54

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score161.2pts

Blue projected score190.5pts

Red win probability41%

Event bonus sample128alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 35%, blue 31%

Supercharged bonusred 6%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -29.3
Score range: 138–214
Upset likelihood: 41%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 329 vs event baseline 126.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

158.3Season APEX164.4

25Auto9.2

76.7Teleop95.8

33.8Endgame39.7

25Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	15	13
teleop	95	95
endgame	29	37
foul	0	45
total	139	190

Result

Final score

139 – 190

Prediction correct · off by 11.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree