Qualification · Qualification 26

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

85.91 – 240.73

13%87%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

42 – 378

Prediction correct · off by 90.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 62.4 ±57.6

9991Off-Season Demo Team 9991

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 47.26Rank 21Record 4-10-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

9997Off-Season Demo Team 9997

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 17.27Rank 12Record 6-8-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

11022RISING STAR ROBOTIC TEAM

Season APEX 62.4Event APEX 21.38Rank 11Record 7-7-0Status establishedConfidence 77

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 423.3 ±18.1

11365Ignite Robotics

Season APEX 38.7Event APEX 37.12Rank 4Record 10-4-0Status establishedConfidence 76

9160YAL THUNDERS

Provisional

Season APEX 59.3Event APEX 16.79Rank 15Record 5-9-0Status provisionalConfidence 70

6459AG Robotik

A+

Season APEX 325.3Event APEX 186.82Rank 1Record 12-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9991, 9997, 11022

/ 100 compat

Projected

85.9 pts

~0.5 RP (offseason)

Teams: 9991, 9997, 11022

Auto

13.9 34%

Teleop

19.0 46%

Endgame

8.0 20%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 19%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 11365, 9160, 6459

/ 100 compat

Projected

240.7 pts

~2.2 RP (offseason)

Teams: 11365, 9160, 6459

Auto

44.6 20%

Teleop

121.8 54%

Endgame

58.3 26%

Strengths

· 6459 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 19%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 0.48 · Blue 2.18

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score85.9pts

Blue projected score240.7pts

Red win probability13%

Event bonus sample128alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 19%, blue 33%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 8%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -154.8
Score range: 65–262
Upset likelihood: 13%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 420 vs event baseline 118.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

62.4Season APEX423.3

13.9Auto44.6

19Teleop121.8

8Endgame58.3

76Consistency72

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	15	64
teleop	14	259
endgame	13	55
foul	0	0
total	42	378

Result

Final score

42 – 378

Prediction correct · off by 90.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree