Qualification · Qualification 25

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

140.85 – 38.18

78%22%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

76 – 133

Prediction missed · off by 79.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 58.8 ±58.3

9995Off-Season Demo Team 9995

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 15.04Rank 19Record 5-9-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

9993Off-Season Demo Team 9993

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 38.79Rank 14Record 5-9-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

11453FutureX Robotics

Provisional

Season APEX 58.8Event APEX 87.02Rank 3Record 10-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 69

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 101.7 ±20.4

11416Raptoris Robotics

Season APEX 34.5Event APEX -29.69Rank 17Record 5-9-0Status establishedConfidence 80

10243Yücel Boru ANATOLIAN WOLVES

Provisional

Season APEX 36.7Event APEX 48.84Rank 6Record 8-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 69

10246ISTAF Team Infinitech

Season APEX 30.5Event APEX 19.03Rank 7Record 8-6-0Status establishedConfidence 77

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9995, 9993, 11453

/ 100 compat

Projected

140.9 pts

~1.9 RP (offseason)

Teams: 9995, 9993, 11453

Auto

6.5 5%

Teleop

85.0 68%

Endgame

33.3 27%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 26%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 11416, 10243, 10246

/ 100 compat

Projected

38.2 pts

~0.8 RP (offseason)

Teams: 11416, 10243, 10246

Auto

15.3 38%

Teleop

22.1 54%

Endgame

3.4 8%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 26%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.86 · Blue 0.79

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score140.9pts

Blue projected score38.2pts

Red win probability78%

Event bonus sample128alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 26%, blue 32%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 102.7
Score range: 17–162
Upset likelihood: 22%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 209 vs event baseline 118.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

58.8Season APEX101.7

6.5Auto15.3

85Teleop22.1

33.3Endgame3.4

47Consistency134

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	11	16
teleop	58	82
endgame	7	35
foul	0	0
total	76	133

Result

Final score

76 – 133

Prediction missed · off by 79.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree