Qualification · Qualification 24

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

128.43 – 83.49

64%36%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

123 – 75

Prediction correct · off by 7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 162.9 ±42.7

11138TEKNOROB

Season APEX 100.5Event APEX 100.9Rank 2Record 11-3-0Status establishedConfidence 79

9992Off-Season Demo Team 9992

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 0.13Rank 20Record 5-9-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

11022RISING STAR ROBOTIC TEAM

Season APEX 62.4Event APEX 27.4Rank 11Record 7-7-0Status establishedConfidence 77

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 75.1 ±42.9

9997Off-Season Demo Team 9997

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 18.81Rank 12Record 6-8-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

8795The Chaotics

Provisional

Season APEX 43.2Event APEX 69.27Rank 5Record 8-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 74

11255KAR Robotics

Season APEX 31.9Event APEX -4.59Rank 13Record 6-7-0Status establishedConfidence 79

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 11138, 9992, 11022

/ 100 compat

Projected

128.4 pts

~1.6 RP (offseason)

Teams: 11138, 9992, 11022

Auto

11.8 10%

Teleop

78.9 64%

Endgame

33.3 27%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 29%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9997, 8795, 11255

/ 100 compat

Projected

83.5 pts

~1.0 RP (offseason)

Teams: 9997, 8795, 11255

Auto

23.4 35%

Teleop

26.6 39%

Endgame

17.7 26%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 29%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.61 · Blue 1.03

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score128.4pts

Blue projected score83.5pts

Red win probability64%

Event bonus sample128alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 29%, blue 26%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 44.9
Score range: 61–150
Upset likelihood: 36%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 198 vs event baseline 119.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

162.9Season APEX75.1

11.8Auto23.4

78.9Teleop26.6

33.3Endgame17.7

42Consistency36

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	15	15
teleop	42	38
endgame	36	7
foul	30	15
total	123	75

Result

Final score

123 – 75

Prediction correct · off by 7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree