Qualification · Qualification 23

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

213.62 – 99.58

81%19%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

311 – 71

Prediction correct · off by 63 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 401.5 ±42.2

9993Off-Season Demo Team 9993

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 27.17Rank 14Record 5-9-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

10415Torchers

Provisional

Season APEX 76.2Event APEX 18.67Rank 9Record 7-7-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

6459AG Robotik

A+

Season APEX 325.3Event APEX 167.78Rank 1Record 12-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 115.5 ±19.1

6038ITOBOT

Season APEX 27.3Event APEX 63.47Rank 8Record 7-7-0Status establishedConfidence 76

10470Sancar Robotics

Season APEX 49.5Event APEX -12.1Rank 16Record 5-9-0Status establishedConfidence 77

11365Ignite Robotics

Season APEX 38.7Event APEX 48.21Rank 4Record 10-4-0Status establishedConfidence 76

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9993, 10415, 6459

/ 100 compat

Projected

213.6 pts

~2.0 RP (offseason)

Teams: 9993, 10415, 6459

Auto

42.2 19%

Teleop

132.5 60%

Endgame

44.6 20%

Strengths

· 6459 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 34%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6038, 10470, 11365

/ 100 compat

Projected

99.6 pts

~0.7 RP (offseason)

Teams: 6038, 10470, 11365

Auto

13.9 16%

Teleop

32.8 39%

Endgame

38.1 45%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 34%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.01 · Blue 0.71

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score213.6pts

Blue projected score99.6pts

Red win probability81%

Event bonus sample128alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 34%, blue 26%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 114
Score range: 79–235
Upset likelihood: 19%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 382 vs event baseline 116.3.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

401.5Season APEX115.5

42.2Auto13.9

132.5Teleop32.8

44.6Endgame38.1

32Consistency64

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	54	10
teleop	170	20
endgame	57	11
foul	30	30
total	311	71

Result

Final score

311 – 71

Prediction correct · off by 63 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree