Qualification · Qualification 19

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

42.81 – 136

24%76%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

65 – 176

Prediction correct · off by 31.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 62.4 ±42.7

11255KAR Robotics

Season APEX 31.9Event APEX 0.48Rank 13Record 6-7-0Status establishedConfidence 79

9993Off-Season Demo Team 9993

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 33.51Rank 14Record 5-9-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

10246ISTAF Team Infinitech

Season APEX 30.5Event APEX 8.82Rank 7Record 8-6-0Status establishedConfidence 77

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 214.5 ±20.9

9160YAL THUNDERS

Provisional

Season APEX 59.3Event APEX 10.72Rank 15Record 5-9-0Status provisionalConfidence 70

11138TEKNOROB

Season APEX 100.5Event APEX 107.29Rank 2Record 11-3-0Status establishedConfidence 79

10521ERA Robotics

Provisional

Season APEX 54.7Event APEX 17.99Rank 10Record 7-7-0Status provisionalConfidence 70

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 11255, 9993, 10246

/ 100 compat

Projected

42.8 pts

~0.8 RP (offseason)

Teams: 11255, 9993, 10246

Auto

23.2 98%

Teleop

15.9 67%

Endgame

-15.4 0%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 27%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9160, 11138, 10521

/ 100 compat

Projected

136 pts

~1.9 RP (offseason)

Teams: 9160, 11138, 10521

Auto

21.3 16%

Teleop

75.3 55%

Endgame

40.7 30%

Strengths

· 11138 anchors offense

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 27%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 0.78 · Blue 1.9

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score42.8pts

Blue projected score136pts

Red win probability24%

Event bonus sample128alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 27%, blue 31%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 5%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -93.2
Score range: 23–156
Upset likelihood: 24%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 241 vs event baseline 108.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

62.4Season APEX214.5

23.2Auto21.3

15.9Teleop75.3

-15.4Endgame40.7

43Consistency18

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	20	12
teleop	27	85
endgame	3	24
foul	15	55
total	65	176

Result

Final score

65 – 176

Prediction correct · off by 31.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree