Qualification · Qualification 18

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

132.14 – 75.6

67%33%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

146 – 24

Prediction correct · off by 32.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 135 ±44

10415Torchers

Provisional

Season APEX 76.2Event APEX 20.85Rank 9Record 7-7-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

11453FutureX Robotics

Provisional

Season APEX 58.8Event APEX 89.42Rank 3Record 10-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 69

9990Off-Season Demo Team 9990

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 21.87Rank 18Record 5-9-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 0 ±69.3

9995Off-Season Demo Team 9995

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 35.12Rank 19Record 5-9-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

9997Off-Season Demo Team 9997

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 23.18Rank 12Record 6-8-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

9992Off-Season Demo Team 9992

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 17.3Rank 20Record 5-9-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10415, 11453, 9990

/ 100 compat

Projected

132.1 pts

~1.6 RP (offseason)

Teams: 10415, 11453, 9990

Auto

13.7 11%

Teleop

72.2 60%

Endgame

35.0 29%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 26%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9995, 9997, 9992

/ 100 compat

Projected

75.6 pts

~0.9 RP (offseason)

Teams: 9995, 9997, 9992

Auto

4.0 5%

Teleop

43.5 59%

Endgame

26.6 36%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 26%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.65 · Blue 0.91

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score132.1pts

Blue projected score75.6pts

Red win probability67%

Event bonus sample128alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 26%, blue 20%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 56.5
Score range: 56–152
Upset likelihood: 33%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 170 vs event baseline 109.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

135Season APEX0

13.7Auto4

72.2Teleop43.5

35Endgame26.6

108Consistency106

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	12	7
teleop	97	12
endgame	32	5
foul	5	0
total	146	24

Result

Final score

146 – 24

Prediction correct · off by 32.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree