Qualification · Qualification 16

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

95.63 – 173.6

27%73%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

8 – 385

Prediction correct · off by 149.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 31.9 ±57.4

9992Off-Season Demo Team 9992

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 32.87Rank 20Record 5-9-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

9990Off-Season Demo Team 9990

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 26.43Rank 18Record 5-9-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

11255KAR Robotics

Season APEX 31.9Event APEX 36.33Rank 13Record 6-7-0Status establishedConfidence 79

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 453.1 ±16

6459AG Robotik

A+

Season APEX 325.3Event APEX 105.85Rank 1Record 12-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6038ITOBOT

Season APEX 27.3Event APEX 5.37Rank 8Record 7-7-0Status establishedConfidence 76

11138TEKNOROB

Season APEX 100.5Event APEX 62.38Rank 2Record 11-3-0Status establishedConfidence 79

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9992, 9990, 11255

/ 100 compat

Projected

95.6 pts

~0.8 RP (offseason)

Teams: 9992, 9990, 11255

Auto

21.6 29%

Teleop

40.4 55%

Endgame

11.4 16%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 19%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6459, 6038, 11138

/ 100 compat

Projected

173.6 pts

~2.0 RP (offseason)

Teams: 6459, 6038, 11138

Auto

26.2 15%

Teleop

113.3 66%

Endgame

32.5 19%

Strengths

· 6459 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 19%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 0.79 · Blue 2

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score95.6pts

Blue projected score173.6pts

Red win probability27%

Event bonus sample128alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 19%, blue 42%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 12%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -78
Score range: 77–193
Upset likelihood: 27%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 393 vs event baseline 104.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

31.9Season APEX453.1

21.6Auto26.2

40.4Teleop113.3

11.4Endgame32.5

129Consistency132

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	8	45
teleop	0	213
endgame	0	112
foul	0	15
total	8	385

Result

Final score

8 – 385

Prediction correct · off by 149.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree