Qualification · Qualification 14

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

67.92 – 225.93

12%88%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

62 – 270

Prediction correct · off by 25 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 104.2 ±43.5

10470Sancar Robotics

Season APEX 49.5Event APEX 3.26Rank 16Record 5-9-0Status establishedConfidence 77

10521ERA Robotics

Provisional

Season APEX 54.7Event APEX 41.65Rank 10Record 7-7-0Status provisionalConfidence 70

9990Off-Season Demo Team 9990

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 23.01Rank 18Record 5-9-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 416 ±18.2

11453FutureX Robotics

Provisional

Season APEX 58.8Event APEX 106.92Rank 3Record 10-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 69

6459AG Robotik

A+

Season APEX 325.3Event APEX 94.64Rank 1Record 12-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11255KAR Robotics

Season APEX 31.9Event APEX 24.37Rank 13Record 6-7-0Status establishedConfidence 79

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10470, 10521, 9990

/ 100 compat

Projected

67.9 pts

~0.5 RP (offseason)

Teams: 10470, 10521, 9990

Auto

19.9 37%

Teleop

23.6 44%

Endgame

10.5 19%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 22%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 11453, 6459, 11255

/ 100 compat

Projected

225.9 pts

~2.2 RP (offseason)

Teams: 11453, 6459, 11255

Auto

18.0 9%

Teleop

132.5 63%

Endgame

59.3 28%

Strengths

· 11453 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 22%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 0.51 · Blue 2.21

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score67.9pts

Blue projected score225.9pts

Red win probability12%

Event bonus sample128alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 22%, blue 39%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -158
Score range: 50–244
Upset likelihood: 12%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 332 vs event baseline 102.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

104.2Season APEX416

19.9Auto18

23.6Teleop132.5

10.5Endgame59.3

80Consistency95

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	13	63
teleop	7	147
endgame	12	45
foul	30	15
total	62	270

Result

Final score

62 – 270

Prediction correct · off by 25 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree