Qualification · Qualification 1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

65.9 – 47.45

56%44%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

76 – 78

Prediction missed · off by 20.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 68.6 ±43.5

9995Off-Season Demo Team 9995

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 5.94Rank 19Record 5-9-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

11255KAR Robotics

Season APEX 31.9Event APEX 9.6Rank 13Record 6-7-0Status establishedConfidence 79

10243Yücel Boru ANATOLIAN WOLVES

Provisional

Season APEX 36.7Event APEX 50.36Rank 6Record 8-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 69

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 73.2 ±42.7

9997Off-Season Demo Team 9997

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 11.69Rank 12Record 6-8-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

11416Raptoris Robotics

Season APEX 34.5Event APEX -7.95Rank 17Record 5-9-0Status establishedConfidence 80

11365Ignite Robotics

Season APEX 38.7Event APEX 43.71Rank 4Record 10-4-0Status establishedConfidence 76

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9995, 11255, 10243

/ 100 compat

Projected

65.9 pts

~1.4 RP (offseason)

Teams: 9995, 11255, 10243

Auto

10.4 17%

Teleop

34.5 55%

Endgame

17.5 28%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 25%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9997, 11416, 11365

/ 100 compat

Projected

47.5 pts

~1.2 RP (offseason)

Teams: 9997, 11416, 11365

Auto

17.9 42%

Teleop

19.3 45%

Endgame

5.8 13%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 25%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.4 · Blue 1.19

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score65.9pts

Blue projected score47.5pts

Red win probability56%

Event bonus sample128alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 25%, blue 25%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 18.5
Score range: 24–89
Upset likelihood: 44%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Close match

Combined score 154 vs event baseline 126.6.

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

68.6Season APEX73.2

10.4Auto17.9

34.5Teleop19.3

17.5Endgame5.8

34Consistency31

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	9	15
teleop	44	27
endgame	23	16
foul	0	20
total	76	78

Result

Final score

76 – 78

Prediction missed · off by 20.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree