Final · Finals 2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

362.43 – 200.79

88%12%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

473 – 187

Prediction correct · off by 62.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 425.8 ±41.7

11138TEKNOROB

Season APEX 100.5Event APEX 110.45Rank 2Record 11-3-0Status establishedConfidence 79

6459AG Robotik

A+

Season APEX 325.3Event APEX 227.24Rank 1Record 12-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9993Off-Season Demo Team 9993

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 24.74Rank 14Record 5-9-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 102 ±44

9991Off-Season Demo Team 9991

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 33.15Rank 21Record 4-10-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

8795The Chaotics

Provisional

Season APEX 43.2Event APEX 82.22Rank 5Record 8-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 74

11453FutureX Robotics

Provisional

Season APEX 58.8Event APEX 85.42Rank 3Record 10-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 69

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 11138, 6459, 9993

/ 100 compat

Projected

362.4 pts

~2.3 RP (offseason)

Teams: 11138, 6459, 9993

Auto

56.1 17%

Teleop

193.4 59%

Endgame

75.9 23%

Strengths

· 6459 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 42%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9991, 8795, 11453

/ 100 compat

Projected

200.8 pts

~0.6 RP (offseason)

Teams: 9991, 8795, 11453

Auto

14.5 11%

Teleop

87.3 65%

Endgame

33.5 25%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 42%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.27 · Blue 0.55

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score362.4pts

Blue projected score200.8pts

Red win probability88%

Event bonus sample128alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 42%, blue 26%

Supercharged bonusred 7%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 161.6
Score range: 179–384
Upset likelihood: 12%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 660 vs event baseline 123.3.

← Previous

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

425.8Season APEX102

56.1Auto14.5

193.4Teleop87.3

75.9Endgame33.5

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	62	16
teleop	306	107
endgame	105	59
foul	0	5
total	473	187

Result

Final score

473 – 187

Prediction correct · off by 62.2 pts