Final · Finals 1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

350.76 – 208.71

85%15%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

453 – 134

Prediction correct · off by 88.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 425.8 ±41.7

11138TEKNOROB

Season APEX 100.5Event APEX 106.34Rank 2Record 11-3-0Status establishedConfidence 79

6459AG Robotik

A+

Season APEX 325.3Event APEX 223.67Rank 1Record 12-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9993Off-Season Demo Team 9993

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 20.75Rank 14Record 5-9-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 102 ±44

9991Off-Season Demo Team 9991

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 36.05Rank 21Record 4-10-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

8795The Chaotics

Provisional

Season APEX 43.2Event APEX 84.89Rank 5Record 8-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 74

11453FutureX Robotics

Provisional

Season APEX 58.8Event APEX 87.77Rank 3Record 10-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 69

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 11138, 6459, 9993

/ 100 compat

Projected

350.8 pts

~2.2 RP (offseason)

Teams: 11138, 6459, 9993

Auto

54.5 18%

Teleop

183.6 59%

Endgame

71.9 23%

Strengths

· 6459 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 42%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9991, 8795, 11453

/ 100 compat

Projected

208.7 pts

~0.6 RP (offseason)

Teams: 9991, 8795, 11453

Auto

15.6 11%

Teleop

85.5 63%

Endgame

34.9 26%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 42%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.21 · Blue 0.6

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score350.8pts

Blue projected score208.7pts

Red win probability85%

Event bonus sample128alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 42%, blue 26%

Supercharged bonusred 7%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 142
Score range: 187–373
Upset likelihood: 15%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 587 vs event baseline 120.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

425.8Season APEX102

54.5Auto15.6

183.6Teleop85.5

71.9Endgame34.9

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	68	5
teleop	273	107
endgame	107	22
foul	5	0
total	453	134

Result

Final score

453 – 134

Prediction correct · off by 88.5 pts