Playoff · Playoff Match 8 R2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

286.36 – 195.56

76%24%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

218 – 88

Prediction correct · off by 88 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 645 ±11

7111RAD Robotics

Season APEX 134.7Event APEX 29.99Rank 19Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6517So-Kno Robo

Season APEX 235.2Event APEX 130.08Rank 2Record 10-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2783Engineers of Tomorrow

Season APEX 275.1Event APEX 126.29Rank 4Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 489.9 ±11

3824HVA RoHAWKtics

Season APEX 91.7Event APEX 27.6Rank 15Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2393Robotichauns

Season APEX 212.3Event APEX 88.59Rank 7Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3492Putnam Area Robotics Team (P.A.R.T.s)

Season APEX 185.9Event APEX 79.37Rank 5Record 8-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7111, 6517, 2783

/ 100 compat

Projected

286.4 pts

~2.0 RP (regional)

Teams: 7111, 6517, 2783

Auto

43.2 16%

Teleop

172.3 62%

Endgame

60.2 22%

Strengths

· 6517 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 44%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3824, 2393, 3492

/ 100 compat

Projected

195.6 pts

~1.0 RP (regional)

Teams: 3824, 2393, 3492

Auto

34.0 17%

Teleop

108.7 56%

Endgame

51.7 27%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 44%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.99 · Blue 0.99

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score286.4pts

Blue projected score195.6pts

Red win probability76%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 44%, blue 46%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 90.8
Score range: 173–309
Upset likelihood: 24%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 306 vs event baseline 125.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

645Season APEX489.9

43.2Auto34

172.3Teleop108.7

60.2Endgame51.7

45Consistency23

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	48	35
teleop	136	24
endgame	29	29
foul	5	0
total	218	88

Result

Final score

218 – 88

Prediction correct · off by 88 pts

Match videos

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