Playoff · Playoff Match 7 R2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

332.32 – 190.63

85%15%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

380 – 132

Prediction correct · off by 53.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 545.8 ±11.2

4065Nerds of Prey

Season APEX 244.2Event APEX 146.96Rank 3Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1369Minotaur

Season APEX 52.6Event APEX 6.51Rank 37Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4020Cyber Tribe

Season APEX 249Event APEX 178.85Rank 1Record 10-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 374.1 ±12.8

7428Gigawatts

Season APEX 82.8Event APEX 11.05Rank 44Record 2-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3102Tech-No-Tigers

Season APEX 98.3Event APEX 87.77Rank 9Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4674RoboJacks

Season APEX 193Event APEX 91.81Rank 6Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4065, 1369, 4020

/ 100 compat

Projected

332.3 pts

~2.2 RP (regional)

Teams: 4065, 1369, 4020

Auto

52.1 16%

Teleop

185.2 57%

Endgame

85.4 26%

Strengths

· 4020 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 43%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7428, 3102, 4674

/ 100 compat

Projected

190.6 pts

~0.7 RP (regional)

Teams: 7428, 3102, 4674

Auto

35.2 19%

Teleop

101.2 54%

Endgame

51.3 27%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 43%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.18 · Blue 0.71

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score332.3pts

Blue projected score190.6pts

Red win probability85%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 43%, blue 37%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 141.7
Score range: 169–354
Upset likelihood: 15%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 512 vs event baseline 123.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

545.8Season APEX374.1

52.1Auto35.2

185.2Teleop101.2

85.4Endgame51.3

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	80	27
teleop	187	83
endgame	113	22
foul	0	0
total	380	132

Result

Final score

380 – 132

Prediction correct · off by 53.2 pts

Match videos

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