Playoff · Playoff Match 2 R1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

188.46 – 123.95

69%31%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

192 – 141

Prediction correct · off by 10.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 374.1 ±12.8

3102Tech-No-Tigers

Season APEX 98.3Event APEX 87.53Rank 9Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7428Gigawatts

Season APEX 82.8Event APEX 10.86Rank 44Record 2-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4674RoboJacks

Season APEX 193Event APEX 90.07Rank 6Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 498.3 ±12.9

4265Secret City Wildbots

Season APEX 103.4Event APEX 15.77Rank 29Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 92

3966Gryphon Command

Season APEX 235.8Event APEX 58.11Rank 8Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7525Pioneers

Season APEX 159.1Event APEX 50.07Rank 16Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3102, 7428, 4674

/ 100 compat

Projected

188.5 pts

~1.8 RP (regional)

Teams: 3102, 7428, 4674

Auto

32.7 18%

Teleop

102.0 55%

Endgame

49.9 27%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 37%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4265, 3966, 7525

/ 100 compat

Projected

124 pts

~1.1 RP (regional)

Teams: 4265, 3966, 7525

Auto

19.7 16%

Teleop

76.6 63%

Endgame

26.0 21%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 37%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.79 · Blue 1.12

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score188.5pts

Blue projected score124pts

Red win probability69%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 37%, blue 46%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 64.5
Score range: 102–210
Upset likelihood: 31%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 333 vs event baseline 121.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

374.1Season APEX498.3

32.7Auto19.7

102Teleop76.6

49.9Endgame26

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	41	41
teleop	98	64
endgame	53	31
foul	0	5
total	192	141

Result

Final score

192 – 141

Prediction correct · off by 10.3 pts

Match videos

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