Playoff · Playoff Match 13 R5

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

261.04 – 184.67

72%28%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

222 – 118

Prediction correct · off by 52.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 645 ±11

7111RAD Robotics

Season APEX 134.7Event APEX 21.35Rank 19Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6517So-Kno Robo

Season APEX 235.2Event APEX 121.98Rank 2Record 10-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2783Engineers of Tomorrow

Season APEX 275.1Event APEX 117.71Rank 4Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 489.9 ±11

3824HVA RoHAWKtics

Season APEX 91.7Event APEX 24.13Rank 15Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2393Robotichauns

Season APEX 212.3Event APEX 84.25Rank 7Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3492Putnam Area Robotics Team (P.A.R.T.s)

Season APEX 185.9Event APEX 76.29Rank 5Record 8-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7111, 6517, 2783

/ 100 compat

Projected

261 pts

~1.9 RP (regional)

Teams: 7111, 6517, 2783

Auto

39.3 16%

Teleop

159.5 63%

Endgame

54.2 21%

Strengths

· 6517 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 44%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3824, 2393, 3492

/ 100 compat

Projected

184.7 pts

~1.1 RP (regional)

Teams: 3824, 2393, 3492

Auto

30.0 16%

Teleop

94.6 52%

Endgame

58.4 32%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 44%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.93 · Blue 1.06

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score261pts

Blue projected score184.7pts

Red win probability72%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 44%, blue 46%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 76.4
Score range: 162–284
Upset likelihood: 28%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 340 vs event baseline 128.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

645Season APEX489.9

39.3Auto30

159.5Teleop94.6

54.2Endgame58.4

56Consistency27

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	55	38
teleop	120	42
endgame	47	38
foul	0	0
total	222	118

Result

Final score

222 – 118

Prediction correct · off by 52.9 pts

Match videos

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