Qualification · Qualification 69

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

213.63 – 89.17

82%18%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

175 – 154

Prediction correct · off by 51.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 433.5 ±12.8

1369Minotaur

Season APEX 52.6Event APEX 1.56Rank 37Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1466Webb Robotics

Season APEX 131.9Event APEX 38.7Rank 11Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4020Cyber Tribe

Season APEX 249Event APEX 173.37Rank 1Record 10-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 431.1 ±13.9

3959Mech Tech

Season APEX 147.7Event APEX 24.57Rank 18Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7111RAD Robotics

Season APEX 134.7Event APEX 25.2Rank 19Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

379The RoboCats

Season APEX 148.7Event APEX 39.4Rank 12Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 92

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1369, 1466, 4020

/ 100 compat

Projected

213.6 pts

~2.1 RP (regional)

Teams: 1369, 1466, 4020

Auto

53.1 25%

Teleop

109.1 51%

Endgame

53.2 25%

Strengths

· 4020 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 39%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3959, 7111, 379

/ 100 compat

Projected

89.2 pts

~0.8 RP (regional)

Teams: 3959, 7111, 379

Auto

9.2 10%

Teleop

59.8 63%

Endgame

26.3 28%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 39%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.07 · Blue 0.77

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score213.6pts

Blue projected score89.2pts

Red win probability82%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 39%, blue 38%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 124.5
Score range: 68–235
Upset likelihood: 18%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 329 vs event baseline 118.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

433.5Season APEX431.1

53.1Auto9.2

109.1Teleop59.8

53.2Endgame26.3

45Consistency39

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	13	21
teleop	105	92
endgame	57	41
foul	0	0
total	175	154

Result

Final score

175 – 154

Prediction correct · off by 51.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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