Qualification · Qualification 66

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

198.5 – 37.39

88%12%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

175 – 65

Prediction correct · off by 25.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 436.5 ±14.7

2393Robotichauns

Season APEX 212.3Event APEX 97.65Rank 7Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4630Robodragons

Provisional

Season APEX 38.3Event APEX 15.32Rank 36Record 3-7-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

3492Putnam Area Robotics Team (P.A.R.T.s)

Season APEX 185.9Event APEX 85.53Rank 5Record 8-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 177.5 ±17

10137RoboKats

Season APEX 81.5Event APEX 11.77Rank 25Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 92

7428Gigawatts

Season APEX 82.8Event APEX 15.01Rank 44Record 2-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8778HSUWerx

Provisional

Season APEX 13.2Event APEX 10.61Rank 41Record 3-7-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2393, 4630, 3492

/ 100 compat

Projected

198.5 pts

~2.3 RP (regional)

Teams: 2393, 4630, 3492

Auto

32.7 17%

Teleop

99.6 51%

Endgame

62.2 32%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 48%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10137, 7428, 8778

/ 100 compat

Projected

37.4 pts

~0.5 RP (regional)

Teams: 10137, 7428, 8778

Auto

5.8 17%

Teleop

19.2 56%

Endgame

9.0 26%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 48%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.28 · Blue 0.53

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score198.5pts

Blue projected score37.4pts

Red win probability88%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 48%, blue 25%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 161.1
Score range: 16–220
Upset likelihood: 12%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 240 vs event baseline 118.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

436.5Season APEX177.5

32.7Auto5.8

99.6Teleop19.2

62.2Endgame9

25Consistency46

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	32	12
teleop	104	13
endgame	39	15
foul	0	25
total	175	65

Result

Final score

175 – 65

Prediction correct · off by 25.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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