Qualification · Qualification 55

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

54.72 – 240.29

9%91%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

67 – 200

Prediction correct · off by 26.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 167.7 ±17

4013Clockwork Mania

Season APEX 109.2Event APEX 53.51Rank 10Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3821Pirabots

Provisional

Season APEX 13.6Event APEX -19.79Rank 45Record 2-8-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

3140Flagship

Season APEX 44.9Event APEX 21Rank 42Record 2-8-0Status establishedConfidence 91

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 453.7 ±14.8

7525Pioneers

Season APEX 159.1Event APEX 56.85Rank 16Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4065Nerds of Prey

Season APEX 244.2Event APEX 152.74Rank 3Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7516Louisville Centrons

Provisional

Season APEX 50.4Event APEX 30.7Rank 17Record 5-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 74

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4013, 3821, 3140

/ 100 compat

Projected

54.7 pts

~0.5 RP (regional)

Teams: 4013, 3821, 3140

Auto

18.6 34%

Teleop

28.2 52%

Endgame

7.9 14%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 31%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7525, 4065, 7516

/ 100 compat

Projected

240.3 pts

~2.3 RP (regional)

Teams: 7525, 4065, 7516

Auto

35.3 15%

Teleop

143.1 59%

Endgame

63.5 26%

Strengths

· 4065 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 31%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.53 · Blue 2.34

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score54.7pts

Blue projected score240.3pts

Red win probability9%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 31%, blue 48%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -185.6
Score range: 34–261
Upset likelihood: 9%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 267 vs event baseline 116.6.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

167.7Season APEX453.7

18.6Auto35.3

28.2Teleop143.1

7.9Endgame63.5

35Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	26	43
teleop	23	116
endgame	18	41
foul	0	0
total	67	200

Result

Final score

67 – 200

Prediction correct · off by 26.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.